[mpen-dayton4] Greater Miami Valley Local Events & News & "FW: Israel's Right to Exist" and more
FYI. Best, Munsup
P.S. Please reply back to me with 'unsubscribe' on the subject line if you no longer want to receive my e-Newsletters. The convenient link to unsubscribe is no longer available due to security reasons to protect my email servers.
P.P.S. "He who dares not offend cannot be honest" - Thomas Paine
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· (Nov. 1) FW: Open Enrollment Kicks Off
· (Nov. 9) FW: Miami Valley Opiate Forum - Registration Still Open
· FW: Kevin's USA Today Notice
· FW: Winter Crisis Program information
· FW: Dayton Hispanic Chamber donation solicitation
· FW: Marijuana Facts and Resources
· FW: correlation is cause and The Ferguson Effect by abagond
· FW: Israel's Right to Exist
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From: are you covered? campaign
Subject: Open Enrollment Kicks Off Sunday
Open Enrollment Kick Off This Sunday, November 1st
are you covered? campaign
Open enrollment in Health Insurance Marketplace plans runs from Nov. 1 – Jan. 31. Get help with signing up: areyoucoveredohio.org #getcovered #openenrollment
In 2016, the penalty for being uninsured nearly doubles to $695/adult and $347.5/child, $2,085/family, OR 2.5 % of family income (whichever is greater). We can help you find the right coverage for you and your budget. #areyoucoveredoh
It's almost here! We know you are all geared up and ready to help Ohioans #GetCovered starting this Sunday, November 1! The are you covered Ohio? campaign wanted to get you off on the right foot by passing along some helpful resources:
- Sample Social Media Posts to use on Facebook and Twitter throughout open enrollment and as key deadlines approach.
- A reminder to place your orders for are you covered Ohio? marketing materials ASAP! The updated marketing materials for Open Enrollment for 2016 plans will be delivered next week and we will be shipping them out to you as soon as we receive them. Get your orders for free flyers, pocket cards, stickers, pens, and more placed now.
It's an exciting and busy time as open enrollment begins, but with an extra hour of sleep we know you'll be rested and ready to go this Sunday! HHS wants you to know that it's not too late to participate in their photo collection campaign to let consumers know you're #HereToHelp them #GetCovered. Consider downloading and printing their poster templates and sharing a photo with us by e-mail over the next couple of days:
- English: https://marketplace.cms.gov/outreach-and-education/were-here-to-help-poster.pdf
- Spanish: https://marketplace.cms.gov/outreach-and-education/were-here-to-help-poster-spanish.pdf
Take a look at our version - our trick-or-treaters can't wait for more Ohioans to #GetCovered starting this Sunday!
From: Carrie J. Rogge [mailto:CRogge@mcadamhs.org]
Subject: Miami Valley Opiate Forum: November 9th, 2015 - Registration Still Open
Registration is still open for the 2015 Miami Valley Opiate Forum
http://www.adamhs.co.montgomery.oh.us/trainingopiates.php
From: Robert Wehrle-Einhorn
Subject: FW: Kevin's USA Today Notice
On the 16th anniversary of Kevin's unsolved murder, we are continuing our efforts to uncover that last piece of the puzzle needed to convict the vermin responsible for ending Kevin's life. In the Friday, October 30th edition of USA Today, a reward notice will be prominently displayed in its classified Public Notices section. Perhaps the $100,000 reward will move people with information to finally come forward. That edition of USA Today has its largest readership, so we hope the right eyes and heart will see it and that person will respond.
USA Today's representatives have really extended themselves to me in getting this notice published and will also publish the notice online for a month. The link to the online notice is -- http://www.usatodayclassifieds.com/.
You'll see Kevin's notice described under Featured Listings and the notice will display when you click on that description. On the right side of the screen, Kevin's notice will also be included in a rotating banner display. The notice has a link to his website, www.justiceforkevinbrame.com. Last year WDTN did an excellent segment, which is on the home page of this website, recognizing the fifteenth anniversary of Kevin's brutal murder. If you have not visited Kevin's website, you'll want to watch this segment. The website has a history of Kevin's case, several videos, and some great photos depicting his short life.
Our local papers have been very generous as well in helping us keep Kevin's case before the public. The same notice will be published in this week's edition of Don Black's Dayton Weekly News. Cox Media will publish it in the November 1st issues of Dayton Daily News [Montgomery County], Springfield News Sun [Clark County] and the Journal News [Butler County] as well as online so the ad will have more coverage. We are enormously grateful for the interest and encouragement we have received from all these news agencies and hope that new leads will be generated that will finally bring justice for Kevin.
I hope you can show your support by sharing this email and purchasing one of these newspapers.
Very much appreciated,
Rosemary
From: PAUL BROWN
Subject: Winter Crisis Program information
Community Action Partnership
Winter Crisis Program
November 2, 2015-March 31, 2016
Your household may be eligible for assistance with utility disconnection notice up to $175.00 or bulk fuel up to $750.00 for Fuel Oil/Kerosene, Propane and $350.00 Coal/Wood (less than 25% of fuel/propane)
To determine eligibility you must schedule an appointment and bring the following documentation:
- Income for 13 weeks for everyone in the household 18 years or older.
- Social Security cards for all household members.
- Current Dayton Power and Light, Vectren bill/Village of Yellow Springs/Ohio Edison or current bulk fuel receipt or new account numbers.
- Disconnect notice for current Dayton Power and Light, Vectren Energy, Ohio Edison or a breakdown for the Village of Yellow Springs.
- If renter landlord's name, address and phone number.
- If claiming zero income for the last couple of year a non-filing tax transcript is required. Number to call is 1-800-829-1040.
WALK-INS will be seen 8:00 a.m.-10:30 a.m.
Monday-Friday on a first come, first serve basis.
To schedule an appointment call our appointment line at 1-866-504-7379
From: David Larson
Subject: Dayton Hispanic Chamber donation solicitation
From: Bruce Barcelo
Subject: FW: Marijuana Facts and Resources
With the increased focus on marijuana in Ohio and nationally, it is important for community members to have access to educational facts about marijuana, including known risks to health and safety.
In response to this need, the Marijuana Workgroup of the Montgomery County Prevention Coalition has created the attached fact sheets and a one-stop website with links to key research findings and additional educational resources.
Here is how you can help!
· Forward this message with the attachments to your networks of clients, colleagues, professional networks, family, friends, and neighbors..
· Print and distribute the Fact Sheets at meetings, in waiting rooms, and anywhere you can.
· Use the Quick Facts to post social media messages
· Go to the KnowB4Uvote Facebook page, scrolling through the posts and sharing those you think your networks need to see.
· Visit the KnowB4Uvote.org website for additional information and resources.
Knowledge Is Power!
Please help to educate our community on the facts about marijuana:
Quick Facts
At 13% THC, the strength of weed today is 4x more potent than the weed from the late 70s.
And that is just the plant material. New forms such as dabs, budder, shatter, and earwax concentrate the THC and can be as potent as 40 – 90% THC.
Today's weed is not the weed of the past. (The University of Mississippi Potency Monitoring Project; and Rocky Mountain HIDTA) | As potency of marijuana has gone up, addiction has gone up. And marijuana IS addictive. |
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New, high potency forms of marijuana have been linked to 3x greater risk of psychosis. Read the study at:
http://www.thelancet.com/pb/assets/raw/Lancet/pdfs/14TLP0454_Di%20Forti.pdf
| Legalizing marijuana increases access to youth and decreases their perception of harm from the drug. This has resulted in higher rates of use. |
Google Image provides a good sense of these high potency snacks. Take a moment to click and scroll. |
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https://www.google.com/search?q=marijuana+edibles&rlz=1C1RNLE_enUS529US530&espv=2&biw=1440&bih=775&tbm=isch&tbo=u&source=univ&sa=X&ved=0CCQQsARqFQoTCOi6l6yuosgCFYbUgAodUpEMgg
In Colorado, the number of young children poisoned by marijuana is much higher than national.
(Note: 2006-2009 Colorado had limited medical access; 2010-2012 commercialized medical access; 2013 – 2014 legalized personal use.) |
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Did you know . . .
In Ohio, you have to be in possession of over 100 grams of marijuana (that's over 200 joints!) before you would see jail time.
That is NOT minor possession.
Marijuana edibles come in many forms, including cookies, cupcakes, soda pops, and candies.
Marijuana related traffic deaths in Colorado were approximately 20% of all traffic deaths in 2014 compared to half that (10%) just five years ago.
(Source: Rocky Mountain High Intensity Trafficking Area September 2015)
In 2014, when retail marijuana businesses began operating in Colorado, there was a 32% increase in marijuana-related traffic deaths in just one year from 2013.
(Source: Rocky Mountain High Intensity Trafficking Area September 2015)
Colorado expanded access to marijuana for medical use in 2009, and then legalized it for personal use in 2013. Colorado marijuana-related traffic deaths increased 92% from 2010 – 2014. During the same time period all traffic deaths only increased 8%.
(Source: Rocky Mountain High Intensity Trafficking Area September 2015)
From: khalfani718
Subject: "correlation is cause & The Ferguson Effect" by abagond
"correlation is cause"
Tue 27 Oct 2015 by abagond
"Correlation is cause" is a fallacy, a false argument. In fact, it is one of the most common errors in human reasoning. Correlation is used by science and misused by pseudoscience, news reporters and racists.
A correlation is when two measurements seem to go together. The more of A there is, the more there is of B. For example, in the 1970s some in the US said that violence on television made society more violent: people were watching more violent television (measure A) at the same time that the crime rate (measure B) was going up.
A correlation can be negative: the less there is of A, the more there is of B. For example, some people say that lack of money causes crime: the lower the average income (A) in a neighbourhood, the higher its crime rate (B).
The correlation between A and B can mean one of at least six things:
1. A causes B – what you suspected all along turns out to be true.
2. B causes A – it could be the other way round. Keeping with the television example, it could be that television is just "a mirror of society". As US society became more violent, so did its television shows.
3. A and B cause each other – television violence makes society more violent, which in turn makes its television shows more violent, which in turn makes ….
4. C causes A and B – crime and television violence may have been caused by a third thing, like the number of men with military training after the Second World War, the Korean War and the Vietnam War. There might be other causes as well, like high levels of gun ownership.
5. A is B – television violence and the crime rate might be measures of the same thing: US violence, or maybe something we do not have a word for yet.
6. There is no causation – Few people still say that violence on television makes the US more violent, in part because the crime rate dropped in the 1990s and 2000s while the amount of violence on television did not. The correlation in the 1970s was spurious or accidental.
All of this assumes that A and B are properly measured and are what they seem to be. The crime rate, for example, might just be over policing or under policing. Or, an IQ test might be culturally biased. Etc.
In most cases correlations turn out to be accidental.
Correlations can point to important discoveries, but on their own they prove little.
"Correlation is cause" is a mark of pseudoscience. Science moves from facts to conclusions. Pseudoscience moves from conclusions to facts. If you believe something, it is easy enough to find facts that support it. That is how stereotypes work. It is called confirmation bias. And since the world has tons of accidental correlations, it is easy enough to find one to support your beliefs – and overlook those that do not.
The Ferguson Effect
Thu 29 Oct 2015 by abagond
The Ferguson Effect (2015) is the rise in crime in the US caused by police doing as little as possible because of citizen video, especially after the Ferguson and Black Lives Matter protests. That in turn has made criminals bolder.
The Wall Street Journal on May 29th 2015:
The New Nationwide Crime Wave: The consequences of the 'Ferguson effect' are already appearing. The main victims of growing violence will be the inner-city poor.
The New York Times on August 31st 2015:
Murder Rates Rising Sharply in Many U.S. Cities
The FBI director, James Comey, on October 23rd 2015 said of the Ferguson Effect:
"I don't know whether that explains it entirely, but I do have a strong sense that some part of the explanation is a chill wind that has blown through American law enforcement over the last year."
Later he admitted he had no facts to back that up, but still maintained that it was "common sense", that the country needs to talk about it.
There is no nationwide crime wave: The New York Times, for example, looked at the homicide rates in 10 of the 60 largest cities in the US. It did not say how it chose those ten. It only looked at 4 of the 20 largest cities, even though there is public data for 16 of them. If you look at all 16, there is no clear overall increase in the murder rate.
Not even in Chicago: Of the four largest cities that the New York Times did look at, only one had a statistically significant increase in the homicide rate: Chicago. But even that does not seem to mean much when you compare it to other years:
Change in the Chicago homicide rate:
· 2010: +5.1%
· 2011: -13.1%
· 2012: +28.5%
· 2013: -16.4%
· 2014: -3.4%
· 2015: +11.3%
One year does not a trend make. If there is some kind of Ferguson Effect, it will not be clear for several years.
The police, if anything, are becoming more violent. The US keeps terrible records on police killings, but as far as we can tell it is getting worse:
· In December 2014, The Economist reported that US police shot and killed 458 people in the latest year for which data was available. Germany, meanwhile, killed 8; Britain, 0.
· In October 2015, The Guardian reported that US police had shot and killed 833 people so far in 2015. At that rate, it will be over 1,000 by the end of the year.
The Killed By Police database shows an increase in both 2014 and 2015. So much for the "chill wind".
No clear relationship between policing and crime: The Ferguson Effect rests on the idea that there is some kind of clear-cut relationship between policing and the crime rate. It is nowhere near that simple. There has been a huge drop in crime rates across the West over the past 20 years. Not just in the US, but even in countries that do not have such brutal police. Criminologists do not know why.
Like "All Lives Matter" and "Black-on-Black crime", the Ferguson Effect is yet another argument to excuse police brutality, to not respect Black lives or the US Constitution.
– Abagond, 2015.
From: John Wagner
Subject: Re: Israel's Right to Exist
Thanks Larry.
I don't think I would personally interpret that quote as saying the pope supports recognition of Israel as a Jewish state, but I can see why it might be suspected. I looked it up, and the same website writes somewhat disparagingly of the Vatican recognizing Palestine as a state. The pope may be trying to play both ends. http://www.timesofisrael.com/vatican-signs-treaty-recognizing-state-of-palestine/
On Thu, Oct 29, 2015 at 11:14 AM, Turyn, Larry <larry.turyn@wright.edu> wrote:
Munsup, I agree with every word of what The Pope is quoted as saying,
"To attack Jews is anti-Semitism, but an outright attack on the State of Israel is also anti-Semitism," Francis told a delegation from the World Jewish Congress (WJC). "There may be political disagreements between governments and on political issues, but the State of Israel has every right to exist in safety and prosperity."
In particular, the first sentence was the thesis of an article I wrote a long time ago and have sent you. By the way, it is not a great leap to infer that The Pope supports the fact that The State of Israel is a Jewish state; for, if otherwise, it does not make sense to say an attack on the existence of Israel is anti-Semitism.
Pope says denying Israel's right to exist is anti-Semitism
http://www.timesofisrael.com/pope-says-denying-israels-right-to-exist-is-anti-semitism/
At 50th anniversary of landmark document that transformed Catholic-Jewish relations, Francis urges interfaith cooperation to promote peace
October 29, 2015, 1:26 am 16
Pope Francis marked the 50th anniversary of the turning point in the Catholic Church's relations with Jews on Wednesday with a sharp condemnation of anti-Semitism, saying attacks on Israel's right to exist were a form of hatred.
"To attack Jews is anti-Semitism, but an outright attack on the State of Israel is also anti-Semitism," Francis told a delegation from the World Jewish Congress (WJC). "There may be political disagreements between governments and on political issues, but the State of Israel has every right to exist in safety and prosperity."
Francis called for greater interfaith collaboration in the face of religious extremism. He devoted his usual Wednesday general audience to explaining to the Catholic faithful in St. Peter's Square the importance of the "Nostra Aetate," or "In Our Time" declaration, which revolutionized the church's relations in particular with Jews.
The statement was one of the most important documents to emerge from the Second Vatican Council, the 1962-65 meetings that brought the church into the modern world. It said Christ's death could not be attributed to Jews as a whole, recognized the shared spiritual patrimony between Christians and Jews and decried all forms of anti-Semitism.
Jews, Muslims, Hindus and Buddhists were in the VIP seats in the piazza and were treated to a meet-and-greet session with the pope after the general audience ended. The World Jewish Congress had a particularly large delegation, given that its leaders decided to hold their annual conference in Rome to coincide with the anniversary.
In his remarks, Francis said the declaration had transformed Catholic-Jewish relations from "indifference and opposition to collaboration and good will. From enemies and strangers we became friends and brothers."
He lamented that the rise of terrorism had fomented suspicion and condemnation about religion in general. He said that while no religion is immune from fundamentalists, the world must look instead at the "positive values" that religions promote, especially in caring for the neediest.
"We can walk together, taking care of one another and of creation," he said.
WJC President Ronald S. Lauder praised the Pope for his statements against anti-Semitism and said the pontiff "inspires people with his warmth and his compassion. His clear and unequivocal support for the Jewish people is critical to us."
Rabbi David Rosen of the American Jewish Committee, a longtime partner in interfaith dialogue with the Vatican, recalled in a briefing with reporters that "Nostra Aetate" was approved following the horrors of the Holocaust, when the Catholic Church was forced to undergo a "reckoning of the soul" over its relationship with the Jewish people.
"Even if this tragedy was not an initiative of church — God forbid — nevertheless it could only take place because of 2,000 years of demonization of the Jews," he said. "It was perpetuated ostensibly in Christian lands by ostensibly baptized Christians. This was therefore an enormous call to the church to look into itself."
The lesson to be learned, he said, is that if such a toxic, 2,000-year-old relationship could be transformed into a wonderful friendship that is now an intrinsic part of the Catholic Church, "then there is no relationship, no matter how bad and how poisoned, that cannot be transformed into a blessed one."
End of MPEN e-Newletter
posted by lucas at 7:46 PM
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